A PYMNTS Company

Surge in Mining Takeover Deals Anticipated Amid Rising Demand for Raw Materials

 |  July 16, 2024

In a striking shift within the mining industry, analysts have forecasted a potential surge in takeover deals and acquisitions due to soaring demand for raw materials and limited new supply. According to Yahoo News, the industry’s reluctance to drill and develop new projects over the past decade, stemming from efforts to pay down debt accrued in the late 2000s, has set the stage for this predicted wave of mergers and acquisitions.

Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, highlighted the situation, pointing to decarbonisation trends as a significant driver of increased demand for raw materials. “The CRB Commodities index, which tracks a basket of 19 raw materials, trades near 10-year highs for a reason,” Mould noted. “The modest capital expenditure budgets of the last decade mean there is little new supply coming onstream, but demand continues to grow at a time when trends such as decarbonisation potentially require substantial amounts of raw materials, be they for electric vehicles, improved grid infrastructure, or batteries and energy storage.”

The backdrop of limited capital expenditure in the mining sector over the last ten years has left the industry with a significant supply gap just as the demand for commodities is intensifying. The push towards decarbonisation, which necessitates vast quantities of raw materials for electric cars, batteries, and energy storage systems, is amplifying this demand.

As the global economy continues to recover and grow, the need for commodities naturally rises, further straining the already tight supply. This environment creates an appealing opportunity for companies to pursue takeovers as a means of growth, leveraging acquisitions to secure essential raw materials and expand their market presence.

Industry experts suggest that the anticipated surge in mining takeovers could reshape the sector, with major players looking to consolidate resources and enhance their production capabilities in response to these market dynamics. The coming months could see a flurry of activity as companies strategize to capitalize on the high commodity prices and the burgeoning demand driven by the global push towards greener technologies.